STARBASE DESK
--:--:-- ET
$SPCX loading…
SpaceX & $SPCX · Independent financial desk

The money behind the missions.

Daily coverage of SpaceX's flight program and its first days as a public company. Catalysts, filings, and launch economics. No hype, just the read.

Next catalyst · Q2 earnings, first report as a public company · Aug 4, 2026, after close
--days
:
--hrs
:
--min
:
--sec
Mission statusFirst insider lockup tranche unlocked Aug 6 · Musk says AI revenue will exceed all other SpaceX revenue by September, and significantly exceed it in Q4 · Flight 14 still TBD
--°
Starbase, TX
--
Wind-- mph
Gusts-- mph
Clouds--%
Precip chance--%
Live read from surface wind, gusts, and cloud cover — not SpaceX's official criteria. Real launch weather rules also cover lightning within range of the pad, thick or anvil cloud layers, upper-level wind shear, and vehicle temperature limits, none of which this feed can see.
Lockup timelineFirst tranche unlocked Aug 6 · full expiry Dec 8
IPO Jun 12First tranche Aug 6Full expiry Dec 8
Full catalyst board → Lockup calendar →
LIVE

Desk wire

Headlines aggregated from outside sources — news wires and SEC filings — refreshed automatically. Tap through to read the full story at the original publisher.

Desk flash

Musk told employees today that SpaceX's AI revenue will exceed every other revenue line by September and will significantly exceed it in Q4. The comments came alongside two other stories: SpaceXAI launched Grok Bot, a team of always-on AI agents, and SpaceX completed its first key ground tests for the Golden Dome missile defense program.

Automated desk take

  1. Connecting to the wire…

On the desk

Nasdaq-100 inclusion

Index funds tracking the Nasdaq-100 were required to buy $SPCX. Analyst coverage began the same week.

--
Jul 7, 2026

Q2 earnings, first report as a public company

First look at revenue, Starlink growth, and guidance. The first insider tranche unlocks two trading days after the report.

--
Aug 4, 2026

First insider tranche unlocks

Two trading days after the Q2 report, the first block of early-investor and employee shares becomes free to sell.

--
Aug 6, 2026

Lockup fully expires

180 days after the IPO, all remaining early-investor and employee shares can be sold.

--
Dec 8, 2026

Earnings scorecard · Q2 2026

$7.8B
Revenue, +92% YoY
12M
Starlink subscribers, +1.7M net adds in Q2
$66
Starlink ARPU, holding steady
$100B
ARR target, company says on track by year end

Revenue beat expectations, but shares fell after hours on capex spend and profitability questions. Musk said there's a non-zero chance of $1 trillion in revenue by 2029.

Launch cadence

$SPCX since IPO

$226 $166 $107 IPO $135 ATH $225.64 Nasdaq-100 ATL $107.01 Earnings

Debuted at $135 on Jun 12, spiked to an all-time high of $225.64 four days later, then ground down to an all-time low of $107.01 on Jul 28 ahead of the first earnings report. Illustrative curve, hand-plotted from reported highs and lows, not a live feed.